New Fall TV Show Review

I've watched a few of the new TV shows and of course, I have some opinions:

Studio 60: Obviously since it's created by Sorkin there will be similarities to West Wing but I was amazed how basically it's the same show. It looks the same. It's shot in the same style. You get the feeling while doing West Wing he realized that running an administration was not unlike the way networks and TV shows are run. He probably picked a comedy sketch show to give him more players to have a voice much like a White House administration.
Chances: 75%. Up against CSI:Miami and What About Brian? I think a close second place gets the job done.

Vanished: It's supposed to be "24" meets "Without a Trace" but I really left myself wondering "Why should I care?" You pretty much need to care about the missing person and the people trying to find them and it couldn't make me do that.
Chances: DOA. Up against The Bachelor, Heroes, Runaway and the CBS comedy block of Two and a Half Men and Old Christine.

Shark: It's pretty obvious Shark is supposed to be the law version of House. Sarah Carter is in it so you know I'm already there for her. It's hard to take your eyes off Woods, he definitely plays Shark big. He's a jerk sure but he's aware that he can be a jerk if it's in a noble effort. This is why he's a single dad and switches to working for the prosecution. I'm not sure why but there is something enjoyable about a jerk who is free to be the best jerk he can be, in fact his success is dependent on it.
Chances: 50%. Great lead in with CSI but up against Six Degrees and ER. If it holds the lead yes if not then no.

Heroes: I thought it was weak. I think Heroes definitely could have used a 2 hour premiere. I couldn't believe they couldn't come up with some original powers for the characters to have. Worst of all is that you have this handful of people that have these powers from all over the world yet they start bumping into each other for no could reason. The nurse guy's brother has powers, the daughter of someone he looks after has a boyfriend who has powers and he gets in the cab with the son of a man who whose father had researched people with powers. Don't get me wrong I like the premise but I think the execution is weak.
Chances: 75%. I think a close second isn't a lot to ask of this show. Up against The Bachelor, Vanished, Runaway and the CBS comedy block of Two and a Half Men and Old Christine.

Jericho: Probably my new favorite fall show. It's similar to Lost in that you have an isolated group of people trying to survive. It's on a grander scale because it's a whole town. There seems to be so much more at stake here though possibly the very future of the country or perhaps mankind itself. They don't know themselves. They really layered in the conflict well as it doesn't seem many of the characters got along before the "attack." The main character Jake has a mysterious past. Gerald McRaney does an awesome job as his father and the mayor. My favorite character is Robert Hawkins. He's a former cop from St. Louis who just moved to town. Coming from the "city" he knows how to handle himself in these situations but he seems to be the only black guy in town so you get the feeling people won't be so receptive to his instructions. It reminds me of Red Dawn which is one of my favorite flicks.
Chances: 75% with a move, 25% without. I think it can be a good show, if it proves to be then it deserves a better spot. Up against Dancing With the Stars, America's Next Top Model, Bones and the NBC comedy block of 30 Rock and 20 Good Years.